Pact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (2024)

Pact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (1)

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Pact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (2)

Pact Group Holdings Ltd

F:27P

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open = false, 5000)":class="open && 'disabled'"class="item"href="https://www.alphaspread.com/security/f/27p/summary">Summary open = false, 5000)":class="open && 'disabled'"class="item active"href="https://www.alphaspread.com/security/f/27p/dcf-valuation">DCF Valuation open = false, 5000)":class="open && 'disabled'"class="item"href="https://www.alphaspread.com/security/f/27p/relative-valuation">Relative Valuation open = false, 5000)":class="open && 'disabled'"class="item"href="https://www.alphaspread.com/security/f/27p/analyst-estimates">Wall St Estimates open = false, 5000)":class="open && 'disabled'"class="item"href="https://www.alphaspread.com/security/f/27p/profitability">Profitability open = false, 5000)":class="open && 'disabled'"class="item"href="https://www.alphaspread.com/security/f/27p/solvency">Solvency open = false, 5000)":class="open && 'disabled'"class="item"href="https://www.alphaspread.com/security/f/27p/financials/income-statement">Financials open = false, 5000)":class="open && 'disabled'"class="item"href="https://www.alphaspread.com/security/asx/pgh/earnings-calls/q2-2018">Earnings Calls open = false, 5000)":class="open && 'disabled'"class="item"href="https://www.alphaspread.com/security/f/27p/discount-rate">Discount Rate

Price:0.51 EUR0.99%

Updated:Apr 29, 2024

Section:

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created byPact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (3)Alpha Spreadand was last updated onApr 29, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of onePact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (4)27Pstock is2.9EUR.Compared to the current market price of 0.51 EUR, the stock isUndervalued by 82%.

27PDCF Value

Base Case

2.9EUR

Undervaluation 82%

DCF Value

Price

Pact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (5)

Worst Case

Base Case

Best Case

2.9

DCF Value

Worst Case

Base Case

Best Case

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DCF Value:2.9EUR

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model

Base Case Scenario

Pact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (6)

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 745.6m AUD.The present value of the terminal value is 1.6B AUD.The total present value equals 2.4B AUD.

Forecast Period

Years

Discount Rate

%

Show All DCF Settings

Terminal Growth

%

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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value

Capital Structure

Pact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (7)

Present Value2.4B AUD
+Cash & Equivalents78.1mAUD
+Investments146.7mAUD
Firm Value2.6BAUD
-Debt945.9mAUD
Equity Value1.6BAUD
/Shares Outstanding344.3m
Value per Share4.76AUD
AUD / EURExchange Rate0.6107
27P DCF Value2.9EUR

Undervalued by 82%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis

DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Pact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (8)

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials

Financials used in DCF Calculation

Pact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (9)

Revenue

1.9B2.2B

Operating Income

151.3m180.9m

FCFF

192m192.2m

See Also

Summary27P intrinsic value, competitors valuation, and company profile.
DCF Valuation27P stock valuation using Discount Cash Flow valuation method.
Relative Valuation27P stock valuation using valuation multiples.
Wall Street Estimates27P price targets and financial estimates made by Wall st analysts.
Profitability AnalysisDetailed analysis of the company's profitability.
Solvency AnalysisAnalysis of the financial position and solvency of the company.
FinancialsIncome Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement.
Discount Rate27P stock discount rate: cost of equity and WACC.

Summary

DCF Valuation

Relative Valuation

Wall Street Estimates

Profitability Analysis

Solvency Analysis

Financials

Discount Rate

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one 27P stock?

Estimated DCF Value of onePact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (10)27Pstock is2.9EUR.Compared to the current market price of 0.51 EUR, the stock isUndervalued by 82%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation.Utilizing the DCF operating model, Pact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (11) Pact Group Holdings Ltd's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at2.4B AUD.

2. DCF Value Calculation.The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of2.9 EURper share.

';return tooltip;}// dcfCalculator.renderValueDecompositionChart = function (){if (this.valueDecompositionChart){this.valueDecompositionChart.destroy();this.valueDecompositionChart = false;}this.valueDecompositionChart = this.createValueDecompositionChart();}dcfCalculator.createValueDecompositionChart = function (){varcObj = this;varcolumns = cObj.createValueDecompositionChartColumns();return Highcharts.chart('dcf-calculator-value-decomposition-chart', {credits: {enabled: false},chart: {type: 'waterfall',spacing: 0},plotOptions: {waterfall: {borderWidth: 0,borderRadius: 3,},series: {dataLabels: {enabled: true,inside: false,crop: false,formatter: function () {vardivider = getDivider(this.y);vardividerText = getDividerShortText(divider);varvalue = accounting.formatNumber(this.y / divider) + dividerText;if (!this.point.isSum)value = ((this.y < 0) ? '' : '+') + value;return value;},style: {fontWeight: 'normal',color: '#7B8794'}}}},title: {text: null},xAxis: {type: 'category',tickColor: 'transparent',lineColor: 'transparent',labels: {step: 1,style: {fontSize: '0.85rem',fontWeight: 300,color: '#3E4C59'}}},yAxis: {title: {text: null},labels: {enabled: false},visible: false},legend: {enabled: false},tooltip: {shared: false,backgroundColor: 'rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)',borderWidth: 0,borderRadius: 0,padding: 0,shadow: false,shape: 'rect',useHTML: true,formatter: function () {return cObj.createValueDecompositionChartTooltip(this);},style: {fontSize: '0.95rem'}},series: [{data: columns}]});}dcfCalculator.createValueDecompositionChartColumns = function (){varcObj = this;varcolumns = new Array;vardates = cObj.model.cashFlowsDates;varnHistoricalCashFlows = cObj.model.nHistoricalCashFlows;for (var i = 0; i < cObj.cashFlowsPv.length; i++){varcf = cObj.cashFlowsPv[i];vardate = dates[nHistoricalCashFlows + i];columns.push({name: date,color: (cf > 0) ? '#079A82' : '#EF5350',y: Math.round(cObj.cashFlowsPv[i])});}columns.push({name: 'Growth Period Value',color: '#627D98',isSum: true});columns.push({name: 'Terminal Value',color: (cObj.tvPv > 0) ? '#079A82' : '#EF5350',y: Math.round(cObj.tvPv),});columns.push({name: 'Total Present Value',color: '#627D98',isSum: true,});return columns;}dcfCalculator.createValueDecompositionChartTooltip = function (obj){varcolor = obj.color;varitem = obj.key;vardivider = getDivider(obj.y);vardividerText = getDividerShortText(divider);varvalue = accounting.formatNumber(obj.y / divider) + dividerText;vartooltip = '';if ((!obj.point.options.isSum) && (obj.y > 0))value = '+' + value;tooltip += '

';tooltip += '

';tooltip += '';tooltip += '';tooltip += ``;tooltip += '';tooltip += '
' + item + ':${value} AUD

';tooltip += '

';return tooltip;}// dcfCalculator.renderSensitivityResults = function (fieldName, sensitivityResults) {this.sensitivityChart = this.createSensitivityChart(fieldName, sensitivityResults);if (this.sensitivityChart)this.renderSensitivityInfoOnChart(sensitivityResults);}dcfCalculator.destroySensitivityChart = function () {if (this.sensitivityChart){this.sensitivityChart.destroy();this.sensitivityChart = false;}}dcfCalculator.createSensitivityChart = function (fieldName, sensitivityResults) {varcObj = this;return Highcharts.chart('sensitivity-analysis-chart', {credits: {enabled: false},title: {text: null},chart: {type: 'column',backgroundColor: 'transparent',zooming: {mouseWheel: false}},legend: {enabled: false},plotOptions: {column: {crisp: false,borderWidth: 0,borderRadius: 2}},xAxis: {tickColor: 'transparent',lineColor: 'transparent',startOnTick: false,endOnTick: false,labels:{enabled: true,reserveSpace: true,style: {fontSize: '0.85rem',fontWeight: 300,color: '#3E4C59'},formatter: function () {return accounting.formatNumber(this.value) + '%'}},},yAxis: {title: {text : null},gridLineColor: '#E4E7EB',gridLineDashStyle: 'Dash',startOnTick: false,endOnTick: false,opposite: true,labels: {enabled: true,reserveSpace: true,style: {fontSize: '0.85rem',fontWeight: 300,color: '#3E4C59'},formatter: function () {if (this.value == 0)return '';return accounting.formatNumber(this.value) + ' EUR'}},min: 0},tooltip: {outside: true,backgroundColor: 'rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)',borderWidth: 0,borderRadius: 0,padding: 0,shadow: false,shared: true,shape: 'rect',hideDelay: 50,useHTML: true,formatter: function () {return cObj.createSensitivityChartTooltip(this, fieldName);},style: {fontSize: '0.95rem'}},rangeSelector: {enabled: false},scrollbar: {enabled: false},navigator: {enabled: false},series: [{name: 'Intrinsic Value',data: sensitivityResults,dataGrouping: {enabled: false,},zones: [{value: 0.51,color: '#EF5350'}, {color: '#26A69A'}]}],responsive: {rules: [{condition: {maxWidth: 991},chartOptions: {yAxis: {labels: {enabled: false}}}}]}});}dcfCalculator.createSensitivityChartTooltip = function (obj, fieldName){vartooltip = '';varintrinsicValue = accounting.formatNumber(obj.y, countDecimals(obj.y)) + ' EUR';varunderOverValuation, underOverValuationText;if (0.51 > obj.y){if (obj.y > 0)underOverValuation = (0.51 - obj.y) / 0.51;elseunderOverValuation = 1;underOverValuationText =accounting.formatNumber(underOverValuation * 100) +'% overvalued';}else{underOverValuation = 1 - (0.51 / obj.y);underOverValuationText =accounting.formatNumber(underOverValuation * 100) +'% undervalued';}tooltip += '

';tooltip += '

';tooltip += '';tooltip += '';tooltip += '';tooltip += '';tooltip += '';tooltip += '';tooltip += '';tooltip += '';tooltip += '
' + fieldName + ':' + obj.x + '%
Intrinsic value:' + intrinsicValue + '

';tooltip += '

';if (0.51 > obj.y){tooltip += `

${underOverValuationText}

`;}else{tooltip += `

${underOverValuationText}

`;}tooltip += '

';return tooltip;}dcfCalculator.renderSensitivityInfoOnChart = function (sensitivityResults){this.renderStockPriceOnSensitivityChart();}dcfCalculator.renderStockPriceOnSensitivityChart = function (){this.sensitivityChart.yAxis[0].addPlotLine({dashStyle: 'ShortDot',value: 0.51,width: 1,zIndex: 3,color: '#1F2933',label: {y: -2,x: -10,useHTML: true,text: '

Last Price: 0.51 EUR

',align: 'right'}});}dcfCalculator.startExclusiveAnimator = function (selector, callback){varcObj = this;if (cObj.animatorStates[selector] === undefined)cObj.animatorStates[selector] = 'init';if (cObj.animatorStates[selector] === 'init'){cObj.animatorStates[selector] = 'started';new Animator($(`#${selector}`), () => {cObj.animatorStates[selector] = 'init';callback();});}}//

Pact Group Holdings Ltd (F:27P) (2024)
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